The three appendices below provide the full analytical infrastructure behind the framework: the evidence base tracking structural forces, the source library for ongoing monitoring, and the internal KPI dashboard for measuring your organization's readiness to act.
Live Dashboard
Scenario Driver Dashboard
An interactive dashboard tracking the two primary scenario axes — fragmentation intensity and automation maturity — plus energy & carbon as the key modifier. Each KPI shows the 10-year trend and current signal. Use the direction of travel to assess which scenario is gaining probability.
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Appendix A
Indicator Evidence Base
The directional evidence base behind the scenario framework across eight structural force areas. Not a statistical forecast — rather, a curated set of observable indicators that help management teams track how the five primary forces are evolving. Updated annually, each indicator shows the current data point, the directional trend, and the authoritative source behind it.
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Appendix B
High-Value Source Library
The curated source stack for ongoing strategic monitoring — official databases, flagship annual reports, and authoritative policy trackers organized by theme. The emphasis is on recurring sources with staying power rather than one-off articles. Use this library to refresh the evidence base annually and to ensure strategic conversations are grounded in credible, publicly available data.
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Appendix C
Internal Readiness KPI Dashboard
The internal counterpart to the external signpost dashboard in Appendix A. While Appendix A tracks what is happening in the world, this appendix tracks whether your organization has built the capability to respond. Organized into three priority tiers and a dedicated Scenario 4 stress-test tool — the Days of Awareness, Survival, and Recovery framework — each KPI includes illustrative Green / Amber / Red thresholds and a recommended review owner.
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How to use these appendices
1
Read the article first. The appendices are reference material; the strategic argument and scenario framework are in the main article on Substack.
2
Use Appendix A quarterly. Check whether the structural force indicators are moving in the direction of your planning case or away from it.
3
Refresh with Appendix B annually. The flagship reports listed update each year — use the source library to keep your evidence base current.
4
Run Appendix C in your S&OP or strategy review. Assign KPI owners, set baselines, and use the Scenario 4 stress-test to surface gaps before a disruption does.